I wrote "13 percent of TV customers will sign up for Project Lightspeed
because they hate their cable company so much, a Microsoft survey predicts."
Many of those customers will come from satellite video, not cable. On
Long Island, Verizon is suggesting they are adding considerably more
TV customers than Cablevision reports losing. Most likely, they are
former satellite customers. I also should be clear that the reason for
the switch (they hate their current provider) is my reporting, not Microsoft's
survey. Microsoft hopes people will choose to switch because of the
features of Microsoft software. If that's so, the number switching may
be much more than 13 percent. As one telco CTO jokes, "We assume we're
going to get 20 percent of the video customers because they hate the
cable guy, and the cable guys will take 20 percent of our voice customers
in turn."
Briefs
Credible but absolutely unconfirmed sources report Skype has been
cracked by a Chinese group. "Free" is a great price, and people love
Skype for the service and voice quality, but it's always been a closed
system. Free World Dialup and one hundred other networks interconnect
without charge.
While it seems everyone is moving manufacturing to China, in fact
sourcing is global. Zhone just assigned some products to CTDI to produce
in Hungary.
Mark Sullivan of Light Reading broke the story that Lucent's
IMS product, crucial to the company's future, is having operational
problems at AT&T, including difficulties managing dual-mode phones.
People
Kevin Mitchell has moved from Infonetics, a top research house, to
a marketing position at Acme Packet. He writes, "People say I joined
the dark side, but I prefer to see myself moving from the objective
world to the agenda world. After tracking and writing about VoIP and
the vendorscape for many years, I wanted to be more deeply involved
with VoIP deployment."
Al Gharakhanian, who helped build Centillium's DSL business, has
just landed at mixed signal company Exar.
Hamadoun Touré of Mali, a candidate for the ITU Secretary-General,
visited Washington this week and joined a State Department meeting at
AT&T. The ITU maintains the standards, supervises the spectrum,
and is taking an increasing role in internet governance. Wish I could
have been down there to meet him.
Bruce Gordon rose to Division President at Verizon before taking
over civil rights group NAACP. For forty years, the phone companies
have been known as a better opportunity for blacks than most of American
business. The result: many highly effective executives choose to work
at telcos, such as AT&T's Group President Ray Wilkins. The NAACP
just rated BellSouth above all other American companies.
Politics
The Senate Finance Committee has proposed an enormous giveaway in
the form of accelerated depreciation for broadband. While of course
DSL Prime is strongly in favor of near-universal broadband, little or
none of this money will actually go to increased deployment. Instead
of directly funding folks who would otherwise be unserved, the money
will primarily flow to the bottom line of the companies building anyway,
especially the Bells.
What particularly smells is a loophole to include buildouts of less
than 5 Mbps down, even over short distances. Japan went to 10 Mbps+
in 2002, all of Europe is following, and 5 Mbps is not enough for a
single channel of today's HD video. That provision could be worth hundreds
of millions to AT&T, although I haven't been able to confirm AT&T
lobbyists are the source. AT&T is building Lightspeed to 20 to 25
Mbps, but currently blocking off everything above 6 Mbps to prevent
competitive HD TV. I hope one of the D.C. reporters finds the story
and embarrasses them into killing the giveaway.
Copyright 2006 Dave Burstein.
The DSL Prime Newsletter is reprinted with permission.
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